Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 75.634422 84.996009 94.573188 105.071887 116.226206 127.694179 140.346537
2025-05-25 60.375835 73.727263 88.013246 104.306203 122.249172 141.292710 162.920531
2025-06-01 51.717106 67.283361 84.502081 104.694553 127.475602 152.156555 180.698830
2025-06-08 44.190068 61.094298 80.384219 103.579312 130.302760 159.761863 194.341239
2025-06-15 39.567555 57.706804 78.967373 105.068470 135.652303 169.830123 210.411543
2025-06-22 35.807809 54.941027 77.931623 106.689634 140.890666 179.562574 225.928971
2025-06-29 31.393532 50.935434 75.055807 105.822824 142.971730 185.474292 236.925096
2025-07-06 26.903442 46.419812 71.214611 103.492425 143.070001 188.885739 244.872663
2025-07-13 25.533995 45.925048 72.330998 107.159368 150.280589 200.563382 262.365375
2025-07-20 23.713545 44.641353 72.307618 109.306155 155.577975 209.939241 277.147883
2025-07-27 21.102805 42.015625 70.357926 108.880151 157.619911 215.369127 287.240453
2025-08-03 18.637032 39.380300 68.227859 108.083533 159.092818 220.034229 296.364653
2025-08-10 16.881822 37.692206 67.317952 108.843295 162.520408 227.105068 308.437575
2025-08-17 14.863863 35.409132 65.454510 108.252531 164.181971 231.995784 317.892894
2025-08-24 13.335010 33.760906 64.377077 108.619334 166.991387 238.238884 328.936456
2025-08-31 11.546544 31.487104 62.264662 107.484351 167.796444 241.962489 336.900041
2025-09-07 10.614856 30.607036 62.133775 109.005423 171.998080 249.861945 349.914022
2025-09-14 9.795851 29.846112 62.127815 110.662036 176.353926 257.943822 363.152493
2025-09-21 8.473557 27.988581 60.353669 109.776344 177.324507 261.766253 371.168594
2025-09-28 6.985742 25.590660 57.598963 107.394913 176.234254 262.939954 375.887828
2025-10-05 6.826256 25.906279 59.134758 111.141950 183.301128 274.405426 393.286777
2025-10-12 6.387114 25.574318 59.602410 113.335103 188.285668 283.241833 407.456390
2025-10-19 5.525880 24.194424 58.293659 112.899929 189.705008 287.534159 415.996805